Cruzeiro EC v 
SC Internacional
The model’s call
Cruzeiro win 47%
Draw 23%
Internacional win 30%
Likely score 1–1
Expected goals 1.2–1.0
Both teams to score 45%
The read
Our model gives Cruzeiro EC a slight edge at home with a 42% probability of victory, though this remains a competitive fixture. The hosts benefit from home advantage and current form, but SC Internacional's away strength keeps their chances alive at 32%. With expected goals nearly level (1.1 to 1.0), the model's most likely outcome is a 1-1 draw, reflecting how closely matched these sides appear.