Mirassol FC v 
CA Paranaense
The model’s call
Mirassol win 34%
Draw 28%
Paranaense win 37%
Likely score 0–1
Expected goals 0.9–1.1
Both teams to score 38%
The read
CA Paranaense edge this encounter in São Paulo, with our model giving the visitors a marginal 36% win probability against Mirassol FC's 35%. The fixture appears evenly matched, reflected in the high draw probability of 29% and nearly balanced expected goals at 1.0 apiece. CA Paranaense's slight edge likely stems from their current form and the away side's defensive stability, though Mirassol's home advantage keeps this genuinely competitive.