CA Paranaense v 
Clube do Remo
The model’s call
Paranaense win 60%
Draw 17%
Clube do Remo win 22%
Likely score 1–0
Expected goals 1.8–0.7
Both teams to score 44%
The read
Our model favors CA Paranaense to claim three points at home, giving them a 61% probability of victory compared to Clube do Remo's 19% win chance. The home advantage proves decisive here, combined with Paranaense's underlying performance metrics—an expected goals figure of 1.8 suggests they should create meaningful attacking opportunities, while Remo's 0.8 xG indicates a more limited threat on the road. The most likely scoreline reflects a narrow but controlled home victory.