Clube do Remo v 
Chapecoense AF
The model’s call
Clube do Remo win 57%
Draw 18%
Chapecoense win 25%
Likely score 1–1
Expected goals 1.8–1.1
Both teams to score 56%
The read
Our model favours Clube do Remo at home with a 56% win probability against Chapecoense AF. The home advantage and Remo's form appear to be the decisive factors here, though the relatively modest margin reflects a competitive encounter. With expected goals of 1.9 to 1.1 in Remo's favour, the model suggests a tight match where the hosts' slight edge in chance creation could prove decisive.