SC Internacional v 
Coritiba FBC
The model’s call
Internacional win 41%
Draw 26%
Coritiba win 33%
Likely score 1–1
Expected goals 1.2–1.0
Both teams to score 45%
The read
Our model gives SC Internacional a narrow edge at home, with a 40% win probability versus Coritiba FBC's 32%, though a draw at 28% remains very much in play. The model projects tight, low-scoring football (1.2 expected goals for Internacional, 1.0 for Coritiba), with the most likely outcome a 1-0 home victory. Internacional's home advantage appears decisive here, though this remains a closely contested match with no clear favourite.