Santos FC v 
SE Palmeiras
The model’s call
Santos win 25%
Draw 19%
Palmeiras win 56%
Likely score 0–1
Expected goals 0.8–1.6
Both teams to score 46%
The read
Our model predicts SE Palmeiras as the clear favourite in this Santos FC encounter, assigning them a 56% chance of victory. Palmeiras' advantage likely stems from superior recent form and their away pedigree, with an expected goals range of 0.8-1.6 suggesting a tight, contested match. The most likely scoreline of 0-1 reflects a well-organised away performance rather than a dominant display, indicating Santos could create chances but face difficulty converting against a strong defensive unit.