SC Internacional v 
Botafogo FR
The model’s call
Internacional win 44%
Draw 24%
Botafogo win 32%
Likely score 1–1
Expected goals 1.5–1.2
Both teams to score 55%
The read
Our model gives SC Internacional a slight edge at home with 45% win probability against Botafogo FR, though this remains a competitive fixture. The hosts' home advantage and expected goals differential (1.5 to 1.2) provide modest support for the favoured outcome, yet a draw is a realistic possibility at 25%, reflecting both sides' capability to contain each other.