EC Bahia v 
CR Flamengo
The model’s call
Bahia win 30%
Draw 23%
Flamengo win 47%
Likely score 1–1
Expected goals 1.1–1.8
Both teams to score 57%
The read
Flamengo are favoured in this fixture, with our model giving them a 52% chance of victory away at Bahia. The away side's superiority is driven by their stronger form and quality, though the hosts will have home advantage to lean on. The expected goal tallies—1.1 for Bahia, 1.8 for Flamengo—suggest a competitive match, though the model's most likely outcome is actually a 1-1 draw, highlighting the uncertainty inherent in this encounter.