CA Mineiro v 
Coritiba FBC
The model’s call
Mineiro win 44%
Draw 24%
Coritiba win 32%
Likely score 1–1
Expected goals 1.3–1.1
Both teams to score 48%
The read
Our model gives CA Mineiro a slight 38% edge in their home fixture against Coritiba FBC, though this is a closely contested matchup with the away side at 35% to secure victory. The expected goals projection of 1.2 apiece suggests an evenly balanced encounter, with the most likely outcome being a 1-1 draw (27% probability). CA Mineiro's home advantage provides the marginal difference in the model's assessment, though Coritiba's away form keeps this competitive.