SC Internacional v 
SC Corinthians Paulista
The model’s call
Internacional win 35%
Draw 29%
Corinthians win 35%
Likely score 0–0
Expected goals 0.8–0.9
Both teams to score 33%
The read
Our model leans slightly toward SC Internacional at home, though this shapes up as a closely-contested Brasileirão encounter. The 38% home-win probability reflects Internacional's advantage in familiar surroundings, but the model suggests a relatively tight affair with expected goals of just 0.9 for the hosts against 0.7 for SC Corinthians Paulista. The most likely outcome is actually a 0-0 stalemate, underlining how evenly-matched these sides appear on the data.