Chapecoense AF v 
SC Internacional
The model’s call
Chapecoense win 32%
Draw 25%
Internacional win 43%
Likely score 1–1
Expected goals 1.0–1.4
Both teams to score 49%
The read
Our model favours SC Internacional to secure an away victory at Chapecoense AF, with the visitors given a 48% win probability compared to the hosts' 27%. Internacional's advantage appears rooted in their superior form and attacking threat, with the model projecting 1.5 expected goals for the away side against Chapecoense's 0.9. The most likely outcome forecasted is a narrow 0-1 scoreline, reflecting a competitive fixture where Internacional's quality edges through.