SC Internacional v 
Santos FC
The model’s call
Internacional win 47%
Draw 23%
Santos win 30%
Likely score 1–1
Expected goals 1.5–1.1
Both teams to score 52%
The read
Our model gives SC Internacional a slight edge at home, with a 52% win probability compared to Santos FC's 25%, while a draw accounts for 23% of outcomes. Internacional's home advantage appears decisive here, supported by their expected goals output of 1.5 versus Santos's 0.9—suggesting the hosts should control play and create clearer chances. The most likely scoreline of 1-0 reflects a tight contest where Internacional's home ground could prove the difference.