Botafogo FR v 
SE Palmeiras
The model’s call
Botafogo win 27%
Draw 20%
Palmeiras win 53%
Likely score 0–1
Expected goals 0.9–1.7
Both teams to score 49%
The read
Our model favours SE Palmeiras in this Botafogo FR clash, giving the visitors a 49% win probability compared to just 27% for the home side. Despite playing away, Palmeiras' superior form and attacking capability—reflected in their expected goals advantage (1.6 vs 1.0)—make them the model's pick. However, the most likely outcome remains a 1-1 draw, underscoring how competitive this encounter is expected to be.