SC Internacional v 
CA Mineiro
The model’s call
Internacional win 42%
Draw 26%
Mineiro win 33%
Likely score 1–0
Expected goals 1.2–0.9
Both teams to score 42%
The read
Our model gives SC Internacional a slight edge at 46% to win against CA Mineiro, with the hosts' home advantage and recent form playing a key role. The expected goals suggest a tight encounter (1.3 to 0.9 in favour of Internacional), reflected in the most likely 1-0 scoreline, though a draw at 26% remains a realistic possibility given the teams' competitive balance.