Mirassol FC v 
Clube do Remo
The model’s call
Mirassol win 49%
Draw 22%
Clube do Remo win 29%
Likely score 1–0
Expected goals 1.5–0.9
Both teams to score 46%
The read
Our model gives Mirassol FC a slight edge at home, rating them 52% favourites against Clube do Remo in this Brasileirão clash. The hosts' home advantage and expected goals output of 1.5 compared to Remo's 0.9 underpin the prediction, though a draw remains credible at 23% and an away upset is far from ruled out. A narrow Mirassol victory looks most probable, but this is a relatively tight matchup with meaningful uncertainty.