SC Internacional v 
CR Flamengo
The model’s call
Internacional win 29%
Draw 23%
Flamengo win 48%
Likely score 0–1
Expected goals 0.8–1.4
Both teams to score 43%
The read
Our model favours CR Flamengo in this Brasileirão clash, giving the away side a 47% win probability compared to SC Internacional's 27%. Despite playing at home, Internacional finds themselves as underdogs here, with the model predicting a narrow Flamengo victory (0-1 most likely). Expected goals tell the story: Flamengo's attacking threat (1.3 xG) significantly outweighs Internacional's defensive output (0.8 xG), reflecting the visitor's superior form and attacking prowess.