EC Bahia v 
SC Corinthians Paulista
The model’s call
Bahia win 38%
Draw 27%
Corinthians win 35%
Likely score 1–1
Expected goals 1.1–1.1
Both teams to score 45%
The read
Our model favors EC Bahia at home, rating them a 39% chance to win compared to SC Corinthians Paulista's 33%, with a 28% probability of a draw. The match is expected to be tight and competitive, with Bahia holding a marginal edge supported by home advantage. Expected goals suggest a low-scoring affair (1.1 to 1.0), and the model's most likely outcome is a 1-1 draw, reflecting how closely matched these sides appear.