SC Corinthians Paulista v 
Clube do Remo
The model’s call
Corinthians win 60%
Draw 18%
Clube do Remo win 22%
Likely score 1–0
Expected goals 1.5–0.7
Both teams to score 38%
The read
Our model favours SC Corinthians Paulista to take all three points, giving them a 57% chance of victory at home. The advantage stems from Corinthians' home-ground superiority and expected offensive control, with the model projecting 1.4 expected goals compared to Clube do Remo's 0.7. While a Corinthians win is most likely, a draw remains competitive at 23% probability, and an upset away victory is certainly possible for Remo.