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La Liga ·

Real Madrid CF vs Athletic Club

Real Madrid win 77% Draw 12% Athletic win 10%

Most likely scoreline 2–0 · Expected goals 2.5–0.7

The read

Our model strongly favours Real Madrid CF at home, assigning them a 77% win probability against Athletic Club. The Whites benefit from home-ground advantage and their superior attacking threat, reflected in an expected goals figure of 2.5 compared to Athletic's 0.7. Real Madrid's dominance in this matchup suggests a comfortable victory is the most likely outcome, with a 2-0 scoreline appearing most probable.

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