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La Liga ·

RC Celta de Vigo vs Sevilla FC

Celta win 55% Draw 21% Sevilla FC win 24%

Most likely scoreline 1–1 · Expected goals 1.8–1.0

The read

Our model favours RC Celta de Vigo at home, giving them a 55% chance of victory over Sevilla FC. The hosts' home advantage appears decisive here, supported by an expected goals differential of 0.8 in their favour (1.8 to 1.0). While Sevilla remain competitive with a 24% win probability, Celta's superior underlying metrics make them the model's pick for this La Liga clash.

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