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La Liga ·

Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs Valencia CF

Real Sociedad win 51% Draw 23% Valencia win 26%

Most likely scoreline 1–1 · Expected goals 1.7–1.1

The read

Our model gives Real Sociedad de Fútbol a slight edge at home, predicting a 51% chance of victory compared to Valencia CF's 26%. The hosts' home advantage and superior expected goals (1.7 vs 1.1) underpin the preference, though the relatively tight margin reflects two fairly evenly matched sides. A draw remains a realistic outcome at 23%, with the most probable scoreline being 1-1.

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