La Liga · Sun 17 May, 17:00

Elche CF vs Getafe CF

Elche win 39% Draw 30% Getafe win 31%

Most likely scoreline 1–0 · Expected goals 1.1–0.8

The read

Our model favours Elche CF at home with a 39% win probability, though this is a competitive fixture with Getafe CF well-positioned to secure a result. Elche's home advantage and expected goal creation (1.1 xG) give them the edge, but Getafe's defensive solidity (0.8 xGA) means a narrow scoreline is expected, with 1-0 to the hosts our model's most likely outcome.