FC Barcelona v 
Real Betis Balompié
The model’s call
Barça win 70%
Draw 15%
Real Betis win 15%
Likely score 2–1
Expected goals 2.5–1.0
Both teams to score 59%
The read
Our model heavily favours FC Barcelona at home, assigning a 70% probability to a Barcelona victory over Real Betis Balompié. The expected goals data shows Barcelona dominating possession and creation (2.5 xG) compared to Betis's 1.1 xG, reflecting the hosts' superior attacking threat. Barcelona's home advantage combined with their expected attacking output makes them clear favourites, though Betis's quality means a competitive match is possible.
Full time
Barça 3–1 Real Betis
The model picked a barça win — it called this one right.