Stade Brestois 29 v 
Angers SCO
The model’s call
Brest win 51%
Draw 24%
Angers SCO win 25%
Likely score 1–0
Expected goals 1.4–0.9
Both teams to score 44%
The read
Our model gives Stade Brestois 29 a slight edge at home with a 51% win probability against Angers SCO. The expected goals model (1.4-0.9) suggests Brest should create more clear chances, reflecting their home advantage and recent form. However, a draw remains quite plausible at 24%, and Angers' away win probability of 25% indicates this is a relatively competitive fixture without a dominant favourite.
Full time
Brest 1–1 Angers SCO
The model picked a brest win — it didn't call this one.