Olympique Lyonnais v 
Racing Club de Lens
The model’s call
Olympique Lyon win 40%
Draw 25%
RC Lens win 34%
Likely score 1–1
Expected goals 1.3–1.3
Both teams to score 53%
The read
Our model gives Olympique Lyonnais a slight edge at home with a 40% win probability, though a competitive fixture is on the cards. The expected goals are evenly balanced at 1.3 apiece, and the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, suggesting Racing Club de Lens will travel to Lyon with genuine hope of taking something from the match despite their away status.
Full time
Olympique Lyon 0–4 RC Lens
The model picked a olympique lyon win — it didn't call this one.