OGC Nice vs FC Metz

The read

Our model favours OGC Nice to claim victory at home against FC Metz, assigning a 61% probability to a Nice win. The Côte d'Azur side benefit from home advantage and a significant expected-goals advantage (2.0 to 1.1), suggesting they should control proceedings and create more clear-cut opportunities. With Nice preferred but Metz capable of stealing a result at odds of 21%, the model's most likely scoreline is a 2-1 home victory.