FC Lorient vs 
Le Havre AC
Most likely scoreline 1–0 · Expected goals 1.5–0.8
The read
Our model favours FC Lorient to secure victory at home against Le Havre AC, with a 57% win probability. The Breton side's home advantage and stronger expected-goals output (1.5 vs 0.8) underpin the prediction, though a draw remains a realistic outcome at 22%. Le Havre will pose a threat on the road, but Lorient's form and attacking metrics suggest they should control proceedings.
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