FC Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln

The read

Bayern München is heavily favoured at home against Cologne, with our model giving them a 92% win probability. The Bavarians' dominance is reflected in the expected goals—Bayern projected to create 4.7 chances versus Cologne's 1.1—while home advantage and Bayern's superior squad depth amplify their edge. A commanding Bayern victory is the clear base case, though cup football always carries inherent unpredictability.