Eintracht Frankfurt v 
VfB Stuttgart
The model’s call
Frankfurt win 26%
Draw 18%
Stuttgart win 56%
Likely score 1–2
Expected goals 1.9–2.7
Both teams to score 79%
The read
Our model favours VfB Stuttgart to upset Eintracht Frankfurt at home, giving the visitors a 56% win probability. Stuttgart's superior form and attacking threat (2.7 expected goals) outweigh Frankfurt's home advantage, with the model predicting a likely 1-2 scoreline. Frankfurt's modest expected goals output (1.9) suggests they'll struggle to break down a well-organised Stuttgart side.
Full time
Frankfurt 2–2 Stuttgart
The model picked a stuttgart win — it didn't call this one.