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Bundesliga ·

SV Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund

Bremen win 20% Draw 18% Dortmund win 63%

Most likely scoreline 1–2 · Expected goals 1.1–2.3

The read

Our model expects Borussia Dortmund to dominate this late-season clash, backing them with a 63% win probability against SV Werder Bremen at home. Dortmund's superior form and quality are reflected in the expected goals differential—the model forecasts them to create roughly double the chances of their hosts. While Bremen will have home advantage, it's unlikely to be enough to overcome Dortmund's attacking potency, with the most probable scoreline pointing to a 1-2 away victory.

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