Crystal Palace FC vs Arsenal FC

The read

Our model heavily favours Arsenal FC in this away fixture, giving them a 67% win probability compared to just 14% for Crystal Palace FC at home. Arsenal's superior form and quality should see them control expected goals (0.5–1.6), with a narrow 0-1 victory the most likely outcome. The draw at 19% reflects Palace's potential to frustrate, but the visitors' attacking threat makes them clear favourites.