Brighton & Hove Albion FC v 
Manchester United FC
The model’s call
Brighton Hove win 39%
Draw 25%
Man United win 36%
Likely score 1–1
Expected goals 1.5–1.3
Both teams to score 56%
The read
Our model gives Brighton & Hove Albion FC a slight edge at home with a 40% win probability, though this is a closely matched fixture. Manchester United FC's 34% away win probability reflects their competitive strength, while the 26% draw chance suggests both sides are well-balanced in attacking threat—backed by expected goals of 1.5 to 1.3 in Brighton's favour. Home advantage appears the decisive factor in the model's assessment.
Full time
Brighton Hove 0–3 Man United
The model picked a brighton hove win — it didn't call this one.