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Premier League ·

Chelsea FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC

Chelsea win 49% Draw 22% Tottenham win 29%

Most likely scoreline 1–1 · Expected goals 1.9–1.3

The read

Our model favours Chelsea FC at home with a 49% win probability, reflecting their home advantage and recent form. However, this remains a competitive fixture, with Tottenham Hotspur holding a respectable 29% chance of an away victory. The expected goals suggest Chelsea should create more opportunities (1.9 vs 1.3), though the most likely outcome—a 1-1 draw—underscores how evenly matched these sides are likely to be.

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