Jordan v 
Argentina
The model’s call
Jordan win 46%
Draw 23%
Argentina win 31%
Likely score 1–1
Expected goals 1.6–1.2
Both teams to score 56%
The read
Our model gives Jordan a slight edge in this World Cup encounter, with a 46% home-win probability compared to Argentina's 30% away-win chance. Jordan's home advantage appears decisive here, supported by an expected goals figure of 1.6 to 1.2 in their favour. However, the 24% draw probability and most likely scoreline of 1-1 suggest this will be closely contested, with Argentina capable of frustrating their hosts despite travelling.