Austria v 
Jordan
The model’s call
Austria win 46%
Draw 23%
Jordan win 31%
Likely score 1–1
Expected goals 1.6–1.2
Both teams to score 56%
The read
Our model gives Austria a marginal edge at home, predicting a 46% win probability compared to Jordan's 30%, with a 24% chance of a draw. The expected goals tally of 1.6–1.2 suggests a relatively tight contest, reflected in the most likely scoreline being 1-1. Austria's home advantage and squad depth make them slight favourites, but Jordan's defensive organisation could frustrate their hosts.