Brazil v 
Haiti
The model’s call
Brazil win 50%
Draw 26%
Haiti win 24%
Likely score 0–0
Expected goals 0.8–0.0
Both teams to score 0%
The read
Our model gives Brazil a slight edge in this World Cup fixture, with a 46% win probability compared to Haiti's 30%, though a draw remains plausible at 24%. The favoured outcome reflects Brazil's stronger squad depth and home advantage, though the expected goals tally (1.6–1.2) suggests a competitive match where Haiti can make this difficult. Haiti's underdog status is clear, but they'll need to stay compact and clinical on the counter to take anything from this encounter.