Canada v 
Bosnia-Herzegovina
The model’s call
Canada win 46%
Draw 23%
Bosnia-H. win 31%
Likely score 1–1
Expected goals 1.6–1.2
Both teams to score 56%
The read
Our model gives Canada a narrow edge at 46% to secure a home victory, though a draw at 24% and Bosnia-Herzegovina upset at 30% remain genuine possibilities. Canada's advantage is built on home advantage, but expected goals of 1.6-1.2 suggests a tight encounter—the model's most likely scoreline of 1-1 reflects a match where both sides will have chances without clear dominance.
Full time
Canada 1–1 Bosnia-H.
The model picked a canada win — it didn't call this one.