US Cremonese v 
Como 1907
The model’s call
Cremonese win 16%
Draw 21%
Como 1907 win 63%
Likely score 0–1
Expected goals 0.5–1.5
Both teams to score 30%
The read
Our model heavily favours Como 1907 to take three points at the Stadio Giovanni Zini, with the away side given a 64% chance of victory. The most likely outcome is a narrow 0-1 defeat for Cremonese, with expected goals suggesting Como will create the clearer chances (1.5 xG to 0.5). This gap in quality likely reflects Como's superior form and attacking threat during this Serie A campaign.
Full time
Cremonese 1–4 Como 1907
The model picked a como 1907 win — it called this one right.