SSC Napoli v 
Udinese Calcio
The model’s call
Napoli win 53%
Draw 23%
Udinese win 24%
Likely score 1–0
Expected goals 1.5–0.9
Both teams to score 44%
The read
Our model gives SSC Napoli a slight edge at home, backing a 50% chance of victory against Udinese Calcio. The expected goals data—1.4 for Napoli and 0.9 for the visitors—suggests the hosts should create more clear-cut chances, with the most likely outcome a narrow 1-0 win. Napoli's home advantage and superior attacking potential make them the favoured side, though Udinese's resilient defence means a close contest is expected.
Full time
Napoli 1–0 Udinese
The model picked a napoli win — it called this one right.