Parma Calcio 1913 v 
US Sassuolo Calcio
The model’s call
Parma win 32%
Draw 31%
Sassuolo win 37%
Likely score 0–0
Expected goals 0.8–1.0
Both teams to score 33%
The read
Our model gives a slight edge to US Sassuolo Calcio in this Serie A encounter, though it's closely contested. The away win probability of 38% edges out Parma Calcio 1913's 31% chance, reflecting Sassuolo's form advantage and the hosts' defensive vulnerabilities. With expected goals between 0.8 and 1.0, this shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair—the model's most likely outcome is a 0-0 stalemate, suggesting both sides may struggle to break through.
Full time
Parma 1–0 Sassuolo
The model picked a sassuolo win — it didn't call this one.