Torino FC v 
Juventus FC
The model’s call
Torino win 24%
Draw 22%
Juventus win 54%
Likely score 0–1
Expected goals 0.9–1.7
Both teams to score 50%
The read
Juventus travel to Turin as clear favourites in this fixture, with our model giving them a 56% chance of victory. The away side's advantage reflects their superior form and quality, despite Torino's home advantage. With expected goals heavily favoured towards Juventus (1.7 vs 0.9), the model's most likely outcome is a narrow 0-1 away win.
Full time
Torino 2–2 Juventus
The model picked a juventus win — it didn't call this one.