Bologna FC 1909 v 
FC Internazionale Milano
The model’s call
Bologna win 23%
Draw 22%
Inter win 55%
Likely score 0–1
Expected goals 0.9–1.6
Both teams to score 48%
The read
Our model strongly favours FC Internazionale Milano in this fixture, giving them a 58% win probability compared to Bologna FC 1909's 22%. Inter's away advantage in quality is substantial enough to overcome Bologna's home status, with the model projecting expected goals of 0.9 to 1.7 in Inter's favour. A narrow away victory—most likely 0-1—reflects Inter's superior form and defensive solidity on the road.
Full time
Bologna 3–3 Inter
The model picked a inter win — it didn't call this one.