← All fixtures
Serie A ·

ACF Fiorentina vs Atalanta BC

Fiorentina win 32% Draw 28% Atalanta win 41%

Most likely scoreline 0–1 · Expected goals 1.0–1.2

The read

Our model favours Atalanta BC to take victory away at the Artemio Franchi, with a 41% win probability against ACF Fiorentina's 32%. The visitors' attacking prowess is key here—despite the away disadvantage, Atalanta's expected goal output (1.2) edges out Fiorentina's (1.0), reflecting their superior form and efficiency in front of goal. The model's most likely scoreline of 0-1 underscores how a single goal could settle what shapes as a tight encounter.

Advertisement