Serie A · Sun 17 May, 18:45

Udinese Calcio vs US Cremonese

Udinese win 62% Draw 21% Cremonese win 17%

Most likely scoreline 1–0 · Expected goals 1.4–0.7

The read

Our model favours Udinese Calcio at home with a 62% win probability against US Cremonese. The hosts' advantage is built on home-ground support and superior expected goals generation (1.4 to 0.7), reflecting their attacking edge in this fixture. A narrow 1-0 victory represents the most likely outcome, though a draw remains credible at 21% probability.