US Sassuolo Calcio vs US Lecce

The read

Our model favours US Sassuolo Calcio at home, giving them a 59% win probability against US Lecce. The expected goals differential (1.3 to 0.5) reflects Sassuolo's attacking advantage and home-field benefit, with the model's base case pointing to a narrow 1-0 victory. While draws remain a realistic outcome at 23%, the underlying metrics suggest Sassuolo should control possession and create the clearer chances.