AC Pisa 1909 v 
SSC Napoli
The model’s call
AC Pisa win 16%
Draw 19%
Napoli win 65%
Likely score 0–1
Expected goals 0.6–1.6
Both teams to score 38%
The read
Our model heavily favours SSC Napoli in this fixture, assigning them a 65% win probability against AC Pisa 1909. The away side's dominance in the prediction reflects a significant gap in quality, with Napoli expected to control possession and create the better chances. The model projects Napoli to generate around 1.6 expected goals compared to Pisa's 0.6, suggesting a comfortable away victory is the most likely outcome, though a 1-0 scoreline indicates this contest may remain competitive in execution.
Full time
AC Pisa 0–3 Napoli
The model picked a napoli win — it called this one right.