Cagliari Calcio v 
Torino FC
The model’s call
Cagliari win 41%
Draw 28%
Torino win 31%
Likely score 1–1
Expected goals 1.3–1.0
Both teams to score 46%
The read
Our model gives Cagliari Calcio a slight edge at home, with a 41% win probability against Torino FC's 31%, though a draw remains plausible at 28%. The hosts' advantage comes from home-ground support, but the underlying expected goals (1.3 to 1.0) suggest this will be a closely contested, low-scoring affair. Torino's away form and defensive solidity keep them competitive, making this one of the season's tighter matchups.
Full time
Cagliari 2–1 Torino
The model picked a cagliari win — it called this one right.